Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.011303 0.013716 0.016756 0.020966 0.026805 0.034889 0.047457
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.007909 0.010371 0.013855 0.019414 0.028640 0.044663 0.078563
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006289 0.008636 0.012207 0.018458 0.030243 0.054705 0.123380
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005404 0.007697 0.011390 0.018381 0.033146 0.069624 0.210976
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004868 0.007158 0.011044 0.018957 0.037654 0.093428 0.422785
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004388 0.006613 0.010543 0.019031 0.041092 0.119514 0.878178
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003904 0.005979 0.009747 0.018219 0.041801 0.137842 1.654106
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003557 0.005537 0.009228 0.017874 0.043735 0.166515 4.246148
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003389 0.005387 0.009247 0.018810 0.050496 0.241952 60.625637
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003290 0.005349 0.009483 0.020388 0.061164 0.403317 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003194 0.005301 0.009688 0.021977 0.073974 0.726098 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003002 0.005042 0.009376 0.021954 0.079393 1.046378 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002777 0.004717 0.008924 0.021571 0.084083 1.588895 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002508 0.004279 0.008152 0.019958 0.080260 1.797591 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002305 0.003957 0.007609 0.018965 0.079733 2.333486 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002171 0.003765 0.007354 0.018885 0.085712 4.363299 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002083 0.003659 0.007293 0.019483 0.098364 14.996372 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001981 0.003513 0.007107 0.019559 0.107441 72.469863 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001853 0.003299 0.006715 0.018716 0.106671 219.497887 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001756 0.003145 0.006461 0.018359 0.110879 49395.161331 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001714 0.003109 0.006520 0.019331 0.133485 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001694 0.003120 0.006707 0.020970 0.173657 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001671 0.003122 0.006871 0.022624 0.227603 NaN NaN